Rockets vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 20, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 7-3 against the spread, while the Warriors are 6-8 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+7.5 -115O 219.5 -110+230
Golden State Warriors -7.5 -105U 219.5 -110-275

Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 74.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Rockets and Warriors, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 63 of their last 77 games (+47.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 44 of their last 77 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 71 of their last 93 games (+45.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+14.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 91 games (+13.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 7-3 (+3.7 Units / 30.45% ROI).

  • 6-5 against the Moneyline (+2.05 Units / 17.08% ROI)
  • 3-8 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI)
  • 8-3 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -18.24% ROI).

  • 6-8 against the Moneyline (-3.5 Units / -14.71% ROI)
  • 7-7 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -4.56% ROI)
  • 7-7 against the Under for game total points (-0.75 Units / -4.85% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 93 games (-57.75 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 75 games (-24.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 93 games (-22.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 85 games (-22.25 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 92 games (-21.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 77 games (-57.60 Units / -66% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 34 away games (-19.60 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-18.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-15.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 71 games (-13.20 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 14-28 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors are 8-16 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Warriors were 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

Injury Report: Warriors vs. RocketsMonday‘s Game, Nov. 20

  • Trayce Jackson-Davis (Warriors): Jackson-Davis is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 20) game against Houston.
  • Gary Payton II (Warriors): Payton II is out for Monday’s (Nov. 20) game against Houston.
  • Victor Oladipo (Rockets): Oladipo is out while recovering from a left patellar tendon repair.
  • Amen Thompson (Rockets): Rockets coach Ime Udoka said Thompson will miss time with a Grade 2 ankle sprain.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors have made 16.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 55% on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (43 blocks/12 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors allowed 1.9 second chance points per game (126 points/65 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 2.7

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.