Spurs vs Heat Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 23

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FDSW | PEAC | NBCS

The San Antonio Spurs visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Spurs vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 40-31 against the spread, while the Heat are 41-29 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Monday‘s game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Heat.

Heat vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+27.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 away games (+15.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 30 away games (+14.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+12.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+12.65 Units / 22% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+14.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.20 Units / 13% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 40-31 (+5.9 Units / 7.55% ROI).

• 53-18 against the Moneyline (+28.35 Units / 12.94% ROI)
• 30-40 against the Over for game total points (-14 Units / -17.93% ROI)
• 40-30 against the Under for game total points (+7 Units / 8.96% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 41-29 (+9.1 Units / 11.64% ROI).

• 38-33 against the Moneyline (+0.8 Units / 0.58% ROI)
• 38-31 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 4.99% ROI)
• 31-38 against the Under for game total points (-10.8 Units / -13.83% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games at home (-21.50 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.75 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 17 games (-14.05 Units / -53% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.40 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.87 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.25 Units / -33% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-14.80 Units / -30% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 away games (-14.10 Units / -36% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-13.95 Units / -30% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.62 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Spurs are 11-2 (.846) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 28-10 (.737) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Heat were 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Heat are 5-18 (.217) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Heat are 53-12 (.815) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.33 points per shot (8,448 points/6,348 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs have averaged 119.0 points per game (8,448 points/71 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.3

The Spurs averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (1,034 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Spurs made 14.1 three-pointers per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 122.4 points per game (4,408 points/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.1

The Heat have averaged 61.8 points per game (4,329 points/70 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0

The Heat have averaged 19.6 fast break points per game (704 points/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,683 rebounds/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Spurs averaged 6.3 blocks per game (520 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs have blocked 386 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (532 steals/71 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (893 blocks/234 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (439 blocks/116 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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