- The Heat (12-14) are -12.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (7-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Saturday, December 10, 2022 at 5:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSUN & BSSW
The San Antonio Spurs visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Miami.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).
The Spurs vs Heat Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 10-15 against the spread, while the Heat are 8-17 against the spread.
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Spurs vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
San Antonio Spurs | +12.5 -115 | O 223.5 -110 | +475 |
Miami Heat | -12.5 -105 | U 223.5 -110 | -650 |
Heat vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 74.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Spurs and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Spurs Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 41 away games (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 away games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 away games (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 away games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 60 of their last 98 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+11.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+9.48 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.04 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 100 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 10-15 (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 7-18 against the Moneyline (-2.35 Units / -9.23% ROI)
- 10-14 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -19.64% ROI)
- 14-10 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 10.91% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 8-17 (-10.7 Units / -37.41% ROI).
- 12-14 against the Moneyline (-8.35 Units / -17.94% ROI)
- 13-12 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI)
- 12-13 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.04% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 99 games (-27.02 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 60 games (-19.91 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.68 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 99 games (-16.76 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Spurs, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 75 games (-30.17 Units / -33% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 81 games (-26.72 Units / -30% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-21.41 Units / -36% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.62 Units / -21% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.82 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The San Antonio Spurs are 10-42 (.192) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,263 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.
The Spurs are 3-33 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256
The Spurs are 9-33 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Spurs are 5-20 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Heat vs. Spurs – Saturday‘s Game, Dec. 10
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): The Heat have listed Victor Oladipo as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Spurs.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): The Heat have listed Jimmy Butler as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Spurs.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): The Heat have listed Tyler Herro as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Spurs.
- Gabe Vincent (Heat): The Heat have listed Gabe Vincent as OUT for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Spurs.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): The Heat have listed Dewayne Dedmon as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Spurs.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Max Strus (Heat): The Heat have listed Max Strus as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Spurs.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): The Heat have listed Duncan Robinson as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Spurs.
- Jakob Poeltl (Spurs): Poeltl did not play in Sunday’s game (Dec. 4) against the Suns.
- Jeremy Sochan (Spurs): Sochan did not play in Thursday’s (Dec. 8) game against Houston.
- Devin Vassell (Spurs): The Spurs have listed Vassell as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s (Dec. 10) game against Miami.
- Blake Wesley (Spurs): Wesley is expected to miss 6-8 weeks, according to Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
- Keita Bates-Diop (Spurs): Bates-Diop did not play in Thursday’s (Dec. 8) game against Houston.
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,185 assists/ 964 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Spurs have averaged 28.6 assists per game (1,314 assists/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2
The Spurs have averaged 52.9 points in the paint per game (5,026 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.2
The Spurs have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game (220 turnovers/13 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (465 blocks/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Spurs have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (831 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Spurs have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (220 blocks/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Spurs have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (430 blocks/85 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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