Spurs vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

  • The Kings are -6.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on KENS | NSCA

The San Antonio Spurs visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Kings Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 26-34 against the spread, while the Kings are 26-32 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+6.5 -110O 234.5 -115+200
Sacramento Kings -6.5 -110U 234.5 -105-250

Kings vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 72.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Kings.

Kings vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 66 games (+23.87 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 67 games (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 71 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+10.18 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 26-34 (-11.4 Units / -17.27% ROI).

  • 26-34 against the Moneyline (-6.1 Units / -7.28% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 3.48% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 26-32 (-9.2 Units / -13.71% ROI).

  • 32-29 against the Moneyline (-13.7 Units / -9.17% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.34% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Under for game total points (-5.15 Units / -7.67% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-26.62 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 56 games (-22.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 56 games (-19.52 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.21 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 29 games at home (-17.33 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.28 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 70 games (-15.59 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 70 games (-15.32 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 72 games (-14.85 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 36 away games (-14.57 Units / -35% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Spurs are 5-40 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 13-3 (.812) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — T-worst in the NBA.

The Spurs are 22-65 (.253) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Kings were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Kings are 32-22 (.593) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Kings are 3-6 (.333) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs had 20.0 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Spurs shot 35% from three (1,036/2,984) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a 21% free throw rate (1,441 free throw attempts/6,698 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Kings have made 12.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Kings are shooting 81% from the free throw line (1,061/1,311) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings shot 35% from three (533/1,522) in the second half last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (375 blocks/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (462 blocks/71 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Spurs averaged 6.3 blocks per game (520 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have allowed 5.7 second chance points per game (808 points/143 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (628 blocks/143 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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