Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on KFAA | KENS

The San Antonio Spurs visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Spurs vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 27-23 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 23-27 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 63.6% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+19.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 60% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.43 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 27-23 (+1.7 Units / 3.09% ROI).

• 34-16 against the Moneyline (+11.95 Units / 9.13% ROI)
• 18-32 against the Over for game total points (-17.2 Units / -31.27% ROI)
• 32-18 against the Under for game total points (+12.2 Units / 22.18% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-27 (-6.75 Units / -12.26% ROI).

• 19-31 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -7.66% ROI)
• 21-29 against the Over for game total points (-10.9 Units / -19.82% ROI)
• 29-21 against the Under for game total points (+5.9 Units / 10.73% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.95 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-16.05 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-14.15 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.70 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.20 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 away games (-22.00 Units / -42% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 25 games (-19.10 Units / -69% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.80 Units / -42% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 25 games (-16.24 Units / -56% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs are undefeated (13-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .689

The Spurs are 21-6 (.778) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs are 23-7 (.767) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks are 11-27 (.289) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks are undefeated (22-0) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .912

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs averaged 51.4 points in the paint per game (4,214 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Spurs averaged 15.1 turnovers per game (1,241 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (270/825) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (937 points/50 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Mavericks have averaged 12.8 second chance points per game (642 points/50 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,858 rebounds/50 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Spurs blocked 520 shots in the 2023-24 season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (1,223 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,881 rebounds/50 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (376 steals/50 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Mavericks have blocked 279 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,584 steals/214 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

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