Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 16

  • The Mavericks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | KENS | KFAA

The San Antonio Spurs visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Mavericks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 6-7 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 4-7 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+12.5 -110O 228.5 -110+500
Dallas Mavericks -12.5 -110U 228.5 -110-700

Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Saturday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games (+22.19 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+18.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 91 games (+21.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 87 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 67 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.23 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 6-7 (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI).

  • 6-7 against the Moneyline (-1.85 Units / -9.74% ROI)
  • 7-6 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 6-7 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI).

  • 5-7 against the Moneyline (-7.15 Units / -22.7% ROI)
  • 5-7 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • 7-5 against the Under for game total points (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 89 games (-34.95 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 93 games (-30.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (-25.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 79 games (-25.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-23.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-22.33 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.87 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 80 games (-17.65 Units / -21% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs are 3-13 (.188) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .392

The Spurs are 5-51 (.089) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .329

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 4-66 (.057) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks are undefeated (9-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .894

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks are 23-10 (.697) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. SpursSaturday‘s Game, Nov. 16

  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
  • San Antonio Spurs – No Injuries Reported

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (19,894 points/16,143 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs have averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (134 points/13 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Spurs shot 35% from three (1,036/2,984) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks are shooting 48% (515/1,074) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (555 turnovers/94 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Mavericks had a TS% of 53% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 6.3 blocks per game (520 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (603 blocks/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs averaged 7.1 steals per game (584 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Spurs have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (83 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (572 steals/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (666 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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