Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 22

• The Mavericks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
• Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
• Watch the game on ESPN

The San Antonio Spurs visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Mavericks Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 0-0 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 0-0 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 62.9% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 80 games (+18.24 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 57% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2H Spread in 46 of their last 80 games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+10.15 Units / 37% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 75 games (-22.25 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.20 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-18.40 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-17.98 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 70 games (-17.55 Units / -22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-20.68 Units / -24% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 80 games (-16.85 Units / -18% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 41 away games (-16.07 Units / -34% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-15.51 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs averaged 15.6 fast break points per game (1,280 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Spurs had 21.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Spurs averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (1,034 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 1.31 points per shot (9,772 points/7,436 shots) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Mavericks made 12.4 three-pointers per game last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Mavericks averaged 13.8 fast break points per game (581 points/42 games) on the road last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs averaged 15.6 fast break points per game (1,280 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Spurs had 21.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Spurs averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (1,034 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 1.31 points per shot (9,772 points/7,436 shots) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Mavericks made 12.4 three-pointers per game last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Mavericks averaged 13.8 fast break points per game (581 points/42 games) on the road last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs averaged 15.6 fast break points per game (1,280 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Spurs had 21.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Spurs averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (1,034 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 1.31 points per shot (9,772 points/7,436 shots) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Mavericks made 12.4 three-pointers per game last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Mavericks averaged 13.8 fast break points per game (581 points/42 games) on the road last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

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