Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

• The Spurs are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
• Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon | FDSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Nuggets Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 44-33 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 41-36 against the spread.

Bet now on Nuggets vs Spurs and all NBA games with BetMGM

Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Saturday‘s game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

Bet now on Nuggets vs Spurs and all NBA games with BetMGM

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+32.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 35 away games (+19.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+17.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+16.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 35 away games (+15.70 Units / 38% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.60 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 44-33 (+7.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

• 59-18 against the Moneyline (+34.55 Units / 12.12% ROI)
• 32-44 against the Over for game total points (-16.4 Units / -19.36% ROI)
• 44-32 against the Under for game total points (+8.8 Units / 10.39% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 41-36 (+1.4 Units / 1.65% ROI).

• 49-28 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 0.85% ROI)
• 47-30 against the Over for game total points (+14.03 Units / 16.57% ROI)
• 30-47 against the Under for game total points (-21.7 Units / -25.6% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-20.51 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-17.05 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.41 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-13.50 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.20 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.10 Units / -29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.70 Units / -35% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (-15.42 Units / -15% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-14.25 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Spurs are 11-2 (.846) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Spurs are 25-2 (.926) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637

The Spurs are 39-9 (.812) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Spurs are 22-1 (.957) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Nuggets are 36-7 (.837) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635

The Nuggets are 22-7 (.759) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Nuggets are 142-43 (.768) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.1 points per game (4,783 points/77 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,041 assists/ 484 TOs) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,149 assists/ 491 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,157 assists/ 1,044 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,084/2,741) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,346 points/6,711 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Nuggets are shooting 49% (3,319/6,711) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (526/1,303) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,933 rebounds/77 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (418 blocks/77 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,742 rebounds/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Spurs have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,393 blocks/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have forced 11.7 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/37 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,841 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (298 blocks/77 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (525 steals/77 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Bet now on Nuggets vs Spurs and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.