Basketball
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 5

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (4-3) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (5-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ALT & BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Nuggets Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 5-4 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 4-4 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+11.5 -110O 235.5 -110475
Denver Nuggets -11.5 -110U 235.5 -110-650

Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 86.5% confidence.

Nuggets vs Spurs Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Spurs and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 away games (+22.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 away games (+16.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 away games (+15.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+12.11 Units / 13% ROI)
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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 83 games (+21.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 76 games (+18.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.78 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 76 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 5-4 (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

    • 5-4 against the Moneyline (+9.7 Units / 107.18% ROI)
    • 5-4 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI)
    • 4-5 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 5-3 against the Moneyline (-0.4 Units / -2.15% ROI)
    • 5-3 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI)
    • 3-5 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-46.51 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 87 games (-30.56 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 83 games (-29.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 83 games (-24.67 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-22.95 Units / -25% ROI)
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  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.88 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 84 games (-22.54 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (-18.29 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 37 away games (-16.55 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-14.71 Units / -16% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

    The Spurs were 13-25 (.342) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

    The Spurs were 4-7 (.364) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

    The Spurs were 5-17 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    The Spurs are 26-52 (.333) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

    The Denver Nuggets were 20-5 (.800) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,121 turnovers/81 games) last season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

    The Nuggets are 22-17 (.564) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593

    The Nuggets are 20-15 (.571) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Spurs – Saturday‘s Game, Nov. 5

  • Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland is questionable for Saturday’s (Nov. 5) game against San Antonio.
  • Ish Smith (Nuggets): Smith is questionable for Saturday’s (Nov. 5) game against San Antonio.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is out for Saturday’s (Nov. 5) game against San Antonio.
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  • Isaiah Roby (Spurs): Roby did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 4) against the Clippers.
  • Blake Wesley (Spurs): Wesley is expected to miss 6-8 weeks, according to Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
  • Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 4) against the Clippers.
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    San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,025 assists/ 889 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,289 assists/ 1,008 TOs) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (4,048 assists/ 1,799 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,135 assists/ 499 TOs) at home last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets shot 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Nuggets averaged 15.1 assists per game (1,238 assists/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

    The Nuggets shot 48% (3,416/7,078) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Nuggets had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Spurs have blocked 769 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th most among NBA teams

    The Spurs stole the ball 625 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams

    The Spurs have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (769 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Spurs have blocked 385 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th most among NBA teams

    Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,864 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Nuggets averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (314 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (628 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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