Spurs vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 20

• The Thunder are -6.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
• Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The San Antonio Spurs visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Thunder Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 56-38 against the spread, while the Thunder are 42-47 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Thunder.

Thunder vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 away games (+28.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+18.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+16.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games (+16.15 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.91 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 56-38 (+14.2 Units / 13.73% ROI).

• 71-23 against the Moneyline (+30.6 Units / 8.59% ROI)
• 42-51 against the Over for game total points (-14.1 Units / -13.64% ROI)
• 51-42 against the Under for game total points (+4.8 Units / 4.64% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 42-47 (-9.7 Units / -9.91% ROI).

• 70-19 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 0.57% ROI)
• 49-40 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 5.11% ROI)
• 40-49 against the Under for game total points (-13.9 Units / -14.2% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (-41.75 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games at home (-28.65 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.67 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.85 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-14.80 Units / -43% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.40 Units / -32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 away games (-15.10 Units / -29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 away games (-11.05 Units / -21% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (-10.40 Units / -14% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 away games (-10.10 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 33-10 (.767) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Spurs are 33-1 (.971) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Spurs are 48-18 (.727) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder are 50-12 (.806) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Thunder are 26-5 (.839) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Thunder are 41-12 (.774) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Thunder are 53-12 (.815) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,302 assists/ 1,103 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs have averaged 119.8 points per game (9,826 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Spurs are shooting 48% (3,562/7,373) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (518 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,067 assists/ 981 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,000 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed 12.0 fast break points per game (981 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (3,061/7,045) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

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