Spurs vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 26

• The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
• Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The San Antonio Spurs visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Thunder Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 54-39 against the spread, while the Thunder are 44-45 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Thunder.

Thunder vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 away games (+25.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+18.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+17.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+15.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 15% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+14.40 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.76 Units / 17% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 54-39 (+11.1 Units / 10.85% ROI).

• 69-24 against the Moneyline (+31.95 Units / 9.28% ROI)
• 43-49 against the Over for game total points (-10.9 Units / -10.65% ROI)
• 49-43 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 1.66% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 44-45 (-5.5 Units / -5.62% ROI).

• 69-20 against the Moneyline (+1.7 Units / 0.29% ROI)
• 49-40 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 5.11% ROI)
• 40-49 against the Under for game total points (-13.9 Units / -14.2% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (-41.75 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games at home (-28.65 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games at home (-15.35 Units / -16% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-14.80 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-14.00 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.30 Units / -38% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 23 games (-14.70 Units / -55% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.25 Units / -28% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-13.90 Units / -24% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 away games (-12.75 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 44-9 (.830) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Spurs are 31-3 (.912) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723

The Spurs are 26-2 (.929) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder are 61-17 (.782) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Thunder are 53-12 (.815) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Thunder are 21-1 (.955) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Thunder are 120-29 (.805) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .504

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,826 points/7,373 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,103 turnovers/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Spurs have averaged 119.8 points per game (9,826 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (981 turnovers/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (518 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have blocked 446 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have allowed 12.8 fast break points per game (1,051 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (6,279/14,377) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 49% on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (796 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

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