Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 10

• The Spurs are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
• Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The San Antonio Spurs visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 53-37 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 42-49 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 away games (+27.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+18.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+16.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.04 Units / 25% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 53-37 (+12.3 Units / 12.42% ROI).

• 68-22 against the Moneyline (+28.4 Units / 8.18% ROI)
• 38-51 against the Over for game total points (-18.1 Units / -18.28% ROI)
• 51-38 against the Under for game total points (+9.2 Units / 9.29% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 42-49 (-11.95 Units / -11.94% ROI).

• 54-37 against the Moneyline (-6.9 Units / -2.81% ROI)
• 42-49 against the Over for game total points (-11.9 Units / -11.89% ROI)
• 49-42 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 2.8% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games at home (-21.95 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games at home (-21.60 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-19.70 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.55 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-18.80 Units / -43% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 45 away games (-14.40 Units / -28% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-13.25 Units / -25% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 away games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-11.50 Units / -14% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-11.40 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 33-10 (.767) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Spurs are 44-9 (.830) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Spurs are 33-8 (.805) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves are 22-7 (.759) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves are 28-4 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Timberwolves are 24-11 (.686) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Timberwolves are 48-32 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,103 turnovers/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Spurs have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs have averaged 119.8 points per game (9,826 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,495/7,260) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,676 points/7,260 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves have a 28% free throw rate (2,072 free throw attempts/7,260 field goal attempts) this season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs have allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (9,145 points/7,470 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (882 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Timberwolves have blocked 476 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

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