Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 15

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  • The Spurs are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon

The San Antonio Spurs visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 54-38 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 43-50 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs-5.5 -110O 218.5 -110-225
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 -110U 218.5 -110+185

Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 away games (+26.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+15.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+12.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+14.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.29 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 54-38 (+12.2 Units / 12.06% ROI).

  • 69-23 against the Moneyline (+27.45 Units / 7.77% ROI)
  • 40-51 against the Over for game total points (-16.1 Units / -15.91% ROI)
  • 51-40 against the Under for game total points (+7 Units / 6.92% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 43-50 (-12.05 Units / -11.78% ROI).

  • 55-38 against the Moneyline (-6.25 Units / -2.52% ROI)
  • 44-49 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -9.68% ROI)
  • 49-44 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 0.59% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games at home (-21.75 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-20.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-19.60 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.45 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.15 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-13.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 away games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 45 away games (-12.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 30 away games (-11.19 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 games (-10.70 Units / -24% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 25-1 (.962) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Spurs are 55-19 (.743) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Spurs are 33-8 (.805) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves are 48-32 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Timberwolves are 28-4 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Timberwolves are 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Timberwolves are 28-13 (.683) when they win the turnover margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,103 turnovers/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have a TS% of 52% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,302 assists/ 1,103 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,495/7,260) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves have averaged 118.0 points per game (9,676 points/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Timberwolves have 25.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have blocked 446 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (901 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (882 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Timberwolves have blocked 476 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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