Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 8

• The Spurs are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
• Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The San Antonio Spurs visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 52-37 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 42-48 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 away games (+27.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 40 away games (+18.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+15.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 away games (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.49 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.45 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+14.25 Units / 37% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 52-37 (+11.3 Units / 11.54% ROI).

• 67-22 against the Moneyline (+27.4 Units / 7.94% ROI)
• 37-51 against the Over for game total points (-19.1 Units / -19.51% ROI)
• 51-37 against the Under for game total points (+10.3 Units / 10.52% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 42-48 (-10.85 Units / -10.97% ROI).

• 54-36 against the Moneyline (-5.9 Units / -2.41% ROI)
• 41-49 against the Over for game total points (-12.9 Units / -13.03% ROI)
• 49-41 against the Under for game total points (+3.9 Units / 3.94% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-22.25 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.25 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-20.90 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-20.55 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.25 Units / -44% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.34 Units / -38% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 away games (-13.00 Units / -39% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-12.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-12.50 Units / -15% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 40 away games (-11.45 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 44-9 (.830) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Spurs are undefeated (23-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

The Spurs are 58-10 (.853) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .649

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves are 46-29 (.613) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Timberwolves are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Timberwolves are 122-39 (.758) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 115.6 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 122-39 (.758) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (4,276 points/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Spurs are shooting 48% (3,562/7,373) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs have averaged 27.1 points in the paint per game (2,224 points/82 games) in the first half this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Spurs have averaged 52.6 points in the paint per game (2,104 points/40 games) at home this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 121.2 points per game (4,970 points/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,676 points/7,260 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,172 points/82 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (1,128/3,049) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,421 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have blocked 446 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (738 blocks/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have blocked 476 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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