Spurs vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 1

• The Spurs are -13.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
• Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
• Watch the game on ESPN | NSBA

The San Antonio Spurs visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Warriors Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 43-32 against the spread, while the Warriors are 32-43 against the spread.

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Spurs vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Wednesday‘s game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Warriors.

Warriors vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+24.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 35 away games (+17.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 30 away games (+15.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+14.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+11.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.58 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 43-32 (+7.8 Units / 9.45% ROI).

• 57-18 against the Moneyline (+32.35 Units / 11.78% ROI)
• 31-43 against the Over for game total points (-16.3 Units / -19.76% ROI)
• 43-31 against the Under for game total points (+8.9 Units / 10.79% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 32-43 (-15.3 Units / -18.55% ROI).

• 36-39 against the Moneyline (-17.4 Units / -10.31% ROI)
• 45-30 against the Over for game total points (+12 Units / 14.55% ROI)
• 30-45 against the Under for game total points (-19.5 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-24.55 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (-22.45 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-19.55 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (-19.00 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.20 Units / -39% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.75 Units / -32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.20 Units / -33% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.00 Units / -26% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 away games (-14.25 Units / -36% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 away games (-11.50 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Spurs are 11-2 (.846) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Spurs are 40-6 (.870) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Spurs are 24-1 (.960) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Spurs are 21-1 (.955) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Warriors are 3-16 (.158) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .222

The Warriors are 68-38 (.642) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

The Warriors are 2-14 (.125) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .214

The Warriors are 51-7 (.879) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 61.9 points per game (4,645 points/75 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0

The Spurs have averaged 1.33 points per shot (8,963 points/6,723 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,093 assists/ 1,013 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs have averaged 27.9 assists per game (2,093 assists/75 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (2,041 points/239 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Warriors have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (921 points/75 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,856 rebounds/75 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Spurs have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,665 rebounds/239 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Spurs have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (702 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (410 blocks/75 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (823 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,510 rebounds/75 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Warriors have averaged 9.9 steals per game (739 steals/75 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (321 blocks/75 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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