Suns vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns (34-29) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (29-34)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Friday, March 3, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chicago.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Bulls Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 33-28 against the spread, while the Bulls are 30-32 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-3.5 -110O 222.5 -110-155
Chicago Bulls +3.5 -110U 222.5 -110+130

Bulls vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 63.3% confidence.

Bulls vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Bulls, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 64 games (+20.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+15.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.99 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+11.98 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+18.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 72 games (+18.09 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+16.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 33-28 (+2.2 Units / 3.17% ROI).

  • 34-29 against the Moneyline (-2.6 Units / -1.91% ROI)
  • 29-33 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.53% ROI)
  • 33-29 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.59% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 30-32 (-5.3 Units / -7.64% ROI).

  • 29-34 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -5.74% ROI)
  • 26-37 against the Over for game total points (-14.7 Units / -21.21% ROI)
  • 37-26 against the Under for game total points (+8.4 Units / 12.12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 87 games (-27.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 72 games (-27.34 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-27.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-26.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 88 games (-27.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-22.84 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-22.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 87 games (-18.85 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 away games (-17.97 Units / -45% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Phoenix Suns are 63-12 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (5,994 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 54-11 (.831) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Suns are 37-9 (.804) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 46-16 (.742) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Chicago Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Phoenix Suns have averaged 44.4 rebounds per game (2,664 rebounds/60 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Bulls are 3-23 (.115) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .158

The Bulls are 4-35 (.103) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .156

The Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

Injury Report: Bulls vs. SunsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 3

  • Javonte Green (Bulls): Green had surgery on his right knee in January and is not practicing yet, according to Joe Cowley of The Chicago Sun-Times. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.
  • Terrence Ross (Suns): The Suns have listed Ross as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Bulls.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated again next week, according to Duane Rankin of azcentral.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,860 assists/ 903 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,801 assists/ 2,674 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,766 assists/ 1,334 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,918 assists/ 1,335 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (309 points/59 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (284 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Bulls have averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (503 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Bulls have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (645 points/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (364 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have blocked 308 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Suns have 1,126 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (303 blocks/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,020 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (909 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Bulls have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,511 steals/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (297 blocks/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.