Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (20-12) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Suns (19-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Tuesday, December 27, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 18-16 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 15-15 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+8.5 -115O 224.5 -115+260
Memphis Grizzlies -8.5 -105U 224.5 -115-350

Grizzlies vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Tuesday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 62 of their last 97 games (+24.18 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 64 of their last 97 games (+19.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.34 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.58 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 89 games (+29.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 63 of their last 92 games (+26.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 43 games at home (+23.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 79 games (+22.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 42 games at home (+22.10 Units / 48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 18-16 (+0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 19-15 against the Moneyline (-14 Units / -15.14% ROI)
  • 16-17 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.22% ROI)
  • 17-16 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 15-15 (-1.5 Units / -4.26% ROI).

  • 20-12 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.28% ROI)
  • 14-17 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -13.35% ROI)
  • 17-14 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 4.55% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 82 games (-35.07 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-25.50 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-24.11 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 68 games (-23.39 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-22.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games (-39.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 97 games (-27.85 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 58 games (-24.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 60 games (-20.95 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 96 games (-18.56 Units / -17% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. SunsTuesday‘s Game, Dec. 27

  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Devin Booker (Suns): Booker is out for Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Memphis.
  • Cameron Payne (Suns): Payne is out for Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Memphis.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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