Suns vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 30

• The Suns are -12.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
• Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
• Watch the game on FDSM | KTVK | AZFS

The Phoenix Suns visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Memphis, TN.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 45-28 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 35-39 against the spread.

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Suns vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Grizzlies vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Monday‘s game with 68.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.

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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 away games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+15.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 45-28 (+14.2 Units / 17.44% ROI).

• 41-33 against the Moneyline (+4.75 Units / 3.33% ROI)
• 32-41 against the Over for game total points (-13.1 Units / -16.09% ROI)
• 41-32 against the Under for game total points (+5.8 Units / 7.13% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI).

• 25-49 against the Moneyline (-22.55 Units / -24.39% ROI)
• 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.35% ROI)
• 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-23.84 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.20 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-21.25 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.55 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.20 Units / -28% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.30 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.70 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.00 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.34 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 19 games (-13.30 Units / -60% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
• Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Suns are undefeated (14-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784

The Suns are undefeated (11-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .857

The Suns are 24-8 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Suns are 3-17 (.150) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Grizzlies are 7-24 (.226) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Grizzlies are 9-36 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .349

The Grizzlies are 50-81 (.382) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 20.8 points in the paint per game (4,940 points/238 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Suns have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

The Suns have a 21% free throw rate (676 free throw attempts/3,225 field goal attempts) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Suns are shooting 45% (3,029/6,668) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (1,113 turnovers/74 games) this season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,365 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 7.9 second chance points per game (584 points/74 games) in the first half this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 51% at home this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,417 rebounds/74 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Suns have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (303 blocks/74 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have averaged 9.7 steals per game (717 steals/74 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have 717 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (659 steals/74 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Grizzlies have 659 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have allowed 17.6 second chance points per game (1,302 points/74 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,491 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

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