Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 14

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 14, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (2-5) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Suns (5-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Monday, November 14, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Heat Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 7-5 against the spread, while the Heat are 3-10 against the spread.


Bet now on Heat vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Suns vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+1.5 -105O 214.5 -115105
Miami Heat -1.5 -115U 214.5 -115-130

Heat vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Monday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.

Heat vs Suns Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 61 of their last 94 games (+25.11 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 62 of their last 94 games (+18.64 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Moneyline in 63 of their last 96 games (+10.02 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+7.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 85 games (+15.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 92 games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 88 games (+12.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 88 games (+11.79 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 91 games (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 8-4 against the Moneyline (-4.8 Units / -12.96% ROI)
  • 4-7 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI)
  • 7-4 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 3-10 (-8 Units / -55.94% ROI).

  • 6-7 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -22.08% ROI)
  • 7-6 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 6-7 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 92 games (-29.96 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 96 games (-27.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 96 games (-26.53 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 92 games (-19.32 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 95 games (-19.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (-30.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 51 games (-20.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 82 games (-19.95 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 96 games (-15.25 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 games (-14.05 Units / -8% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Heat vs. SunsMonday‘s Game, Nov. 14

  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 14) game against Phoenix.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 14) game against Phoenix.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): Yurtseven is expected to miss an extended period of time, according to Ira Winderman of The South Florida Sun Sentinel.
  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Chris Paul (Suns): Paul is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 14) game against Miami.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet is out for Monday’s (Nov. 14) game against Miami.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7

The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Heat vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.