Suns vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns (33-29) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hornets (20-43)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Hornets Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 32-28 against the spread, while the Hornets are 28-33 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-10.5 -105O 228.5 -115-500
Charlotte Hornets +10.5 -115U 228.5 -115+375

Hornets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 73.7% confidence.

Hornets vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Hornets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+14.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.99 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.98 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+14.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+10.66 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 83 games (+9.73 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 32-28 (+1.2 Units / 1.76% ROI).

  • 33-29 against the Moneyline (-3.6 Units / -2.74% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 28-33 (-8.3 Units / -11.99% ROI).

  • 20-43 against the Moneyline (-7 Units / -9.97% ROI)
  • 29-34 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -12.12% ROI)
  • 34-29 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 41 games (-23.71 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-22.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 41 games (-20.43 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.29 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 81 games (-19.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-26.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-20.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 games (-20.44 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-19.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-18.00 Units / -19% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Phoenix Suns are 8-14 (.364) when they lose the turnover margin this season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Oklahoma City Thunder have averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (704 turnovers/54 games) this season — tied for sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Suns are 54-11 (.831) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Suns are 34-22 (.607) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Hornets are 1-15 (.062) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Hornets are 3-24 (.111) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .471

The Hornets are 20-42 (.323) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Hornets are 7-20 (.259) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .471

Injury Report: Hornets vs. SunsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a fractured right ankle, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin hasn’t played since Jan. 14 against Boston. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • P.J. Washington (Hornets): Washington is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Phoenix.
  • Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is probable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 1) game against Charlotte.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated again next week, according to Duane Rankin of azcentral.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,828 assists/ 887 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,727 assists/ 2,639 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,734 assists/ 1,318 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,867 assists/ 1,311 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,786 assists/ 861 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hornets have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets have averaged 1.21 points per shot (6,265 points/5,175 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hornets have averaged 8.0 fast break points per game (1,104 points/138 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,626 steals/211 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (289 blocks/57 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,828 rebounds/57 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (850 steals/106 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (1,020 blocks/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Hornets have blocked 676 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have 1,723 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (676 blocks/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.