Suns vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Kings (43-29) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Suns (38-34)
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Friday, March 24, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Kings Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 36-34 against the spread, while the Kings are 40-32 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+3.5 -110O 239.5 -110+140
Sacramento Kings -3.5 -110U 239.5 -110-165

Kings vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 62.8% confidence.

Kings vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.98 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.47 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 36-34 (-1.4 Units / -1.77% ROI).

  • 38-34 against the Moneyline (-4.25 Units / -2.75% ROI)
  • 36-34 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.77% ROI)
  • 34-36 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 40-32 (+4.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 43-29 against the Moneyline (+5.15 Units / 4.04% ROI)
  • 37-35 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.89% ROI)
  • 35-37 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -7.2% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 80 games (-22.57 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 79 games (-22.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 53 games (-20.82 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.76 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 33 games at home (-16.75 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 91 games (-25.12 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.12 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-22.79 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 94 games (-18.20 Units / -18% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Phoenix Suns are 7-17 (.292) when losing the rebounding margin this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 57.2 rebounds per game (3,892 rebounds/68 games) this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 39-9 (.812) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 85-32 (.726) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns are 33-10 (.767) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Kings are winless (0-17) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .119

The Kings are 20-33 (.377) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Kings are 6-29 (.171) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

Injury Report: Kings vs. SunsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 24

  • Kevin Huerter (Kings): Huerter is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Phoenix.
  • Deandre Ayton (Suns): Ayton is out for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Sacramento.
  • Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is expected to miss 2 to 3 weeks with a left ankle injury. (per Woj)

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,024 assists/ 1,456 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,966 assists/ 1,014 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,872 assists/ 1,468 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (6,031 assists/ 2,912 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 121.2 points per game (8,241 points/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Kings are shooting 39% from three (133/339) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Kings have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Kings have averaged 124.2 points per game (4,347 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,201 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,718 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (318 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,452 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (218 blocks/68 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,063 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (304 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (945 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.