Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 05, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (11-11) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Suns (16-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Monday, December 5, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Mavericks Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 14-9 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 6-15 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+3.5 -115O 221.5 -110+135
Dallas Mavericks -3.5 -105U 221.5 -110-160

Mavericks vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 92 games (+21.19 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 60 of their last 92 games (+16.31 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 51 games (+14.93 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.63 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+11.78 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 68 of their last 100 games (+33.68 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+19.11 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 14-9 (+4.15 Units / 16.44% ROI).

  • 16-7 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -7.31% ROI)
  • 10-12 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -12.65% ROI)
  • 12-10 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 3.95% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 6-15 (-10.5 Units / -43.39% ROI).

  • 11-11 against the Moneyline (-17.35 Units / -31.75% ROI)
  • 13-9 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI)
  • 9-13 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 100 games (-45.69 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 27 games (-20.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.66 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games at home (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (-18.43 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games (-30.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 93 games (-25.11 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (-20.75 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 85 games (-17.63 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 49 games (-17.20 Units / -32% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. SunsMonday‘s Game, Dec. 5

  • Christian Wood (Mavericks): The Mavericks have listed Wood as QUESTIONABLE for Monday’s game (Dec. 5) against the Suns.
  • Torrey Craig (Suns): Craig did not play in Sunday’s game (Dec. 4) against the Spurs.
  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Chris Paul (Suns): Paul will be re-evaluated later next week, according to Kellan Olson of ArizonaSports.com.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.