Suns vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (33-31) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Suns (35-29)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 1:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ABC & ABC

The Phoenix Suns visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Dallas.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Suns vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 34-28 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 23-38 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

Mavericks vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 65 games (+18.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+16.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 away games (+14.99 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games (+13.97 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 55 of their last 94 games (+12.73 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+13.07 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.26 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 34-28 (+3.2 Units / 4.55% ROI).

  • 35-29 against the Moneyline (-1.6 Units / -1.16% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -8.95% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-38 (-18.75 Units / -26.65% ROI).

  • 33-31 against the Moneyline (-18.8 Units / -13.52% ROI)
  • 36-28 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 28-36 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-26.16 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 55 games (-26.12 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 100 games (-23.12 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games (-22.35 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 69 games (-22.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 89 games (-26.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-21.84 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 36 away games (-19.19 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Phoenix Suns are 63-12 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (5,994 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 54-11 (.831) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Suns are 37-9 (.804) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 46-16 (.742) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks are 36-19 (.655) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Mavericks are 20-5 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks are 43-38 (.531) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Mavericks are 44-22 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 5

  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is probable for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against Phoenix.
  • Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans is probable for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against Phoenix.
  • Deandre Ayton (Suns): Ayton is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against Dallas.
  • Terrence Ross (Suns): Ross is probable for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against Dallas.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated again next week, according to Duane Rankin of azcentral.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,860 assists/ 903 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,801 assists/ 2,674 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,766 assists/ 1,334 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,918 assists/ 1,335 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.7 points in the paint per game (1,232 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Mavericks have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (1,333 turnovers/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (883 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (286 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (364 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have blocked 308 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Suns have 1,126 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (303 blocks/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (272 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (970 steals/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (563 blocks/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (418 steals/64 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.