- The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Suns
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Watch the game on KTVK | ALT | AZFS
The Phoenix Suns visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Suns vs Nuggets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 8-18 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 10-15 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phoenix Suns | +4.5 -110 | O 232.5 -110 | +155 |
| Denver Nuggets | -4.5 -110 | U 232.5 -110 | -190 |
Nuggets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 71.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 64.1% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 away games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+11.27 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 8-18 (-11.8 Units / -39.73% ROI).
- 14-13 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -7.75% ROI)
- 16-11 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI)
- 11-16 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 10-15 (-6.5 Units / -22.73% ROI).
- 15-11 against the Moneyline (-6.05 Units / -9.88% ROI)
- 18-8 against the Over for game total points (+9.2 Units / 32.17% ROI)
- 8-18 against the Under for game total points (-11.8 Units / -41.26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 90 games (-36.90 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 90 games (-35.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 41 games (-22.20 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-21.50 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 48 games (-21.05 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 61 games (-31.92 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.96 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-22.00 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-21.65 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 30 games (-20.16 Units / -51% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Suns are 4-7 (.364) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Suns were 14-8 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Suns are 65-40 (.619) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Nuggets are 30-14 (.682) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 14.7 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-highest in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Nuggets are 51-18 (.739) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .633
The Nuggets are 31-2 (.939) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .842
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Suns averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (2,303 points/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,098/8,074) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets are shooting 50% (8,153/16,335) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets have averaged 30.5 assists per game (2,802 assists/92 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6
The Nuggets averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,036 turnovers/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,672 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (531 blocks/94 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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