- The Nuggets (27-13) are -13.5 favorites vs. the Suns (21-21)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Wednesday, January 11, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
- Watch the game on ESPN & ESPN
The Phoenix Suns visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Suns vs Nuggets Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 21-21 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 20-19 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Phoenix Suns | +13.5 -105 | O 226.5 -110 | +650 |
Denver Nuggets | -13.5 -115 | U 226.5 -110 | -1000 |
Nuggets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 75.6% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Suns Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 98 games (+14.94 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.59 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+12.93 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.13 Units / 28% ROI)
Nuggets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 85 games (+19.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.57 Units / 26% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 21-21 (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 21-21 against the Moneyline (-12.25 Units / -12.15% ROI)
- 19-22 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -11.26% ROI)
- 22-19 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.38% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 20-19 (-0.9 Units / -2.05% ROI).
- 27-13 against the Moneyline (+7.15 Units / 7.05% ROI)
- 20-20 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 20-20 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 89 games (-31.53 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-27.83 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-20.35 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-19.35 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Suns, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 61 games (-37.75 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 games (-23.30 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-23.16 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 68 games (-22.40 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (-20.90 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Suns – Wednesday‘s Game, Jan. 11
- Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson will be sidelined for a couple weeks, according to Harrison Wind of TheDNVR.com.
- Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 11) game against Phoenix.
- Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is dealing with fractured left hand and sprained finger and will be re-evaluated in a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Bruce Brown (Nuggets): Brown is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 11) game against Phoenix.
- Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 11) game against Phoenix.
- Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
- Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
- Cameron Payne (Suns): Payne did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
- Devin Booker (Suns): The Suns announced that Booker has a left groin strain and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
- Deandre Ayton (Suns): Ayton did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
- Chris Paul (Suns): Paul did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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