- The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the Suns
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | KTVK | ALT | AZFS
The Phoenix Suns visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Suns vs Nuggets Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 21-39 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 31-30 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phoenix Suns | +9.5 -115 | O 242.5 -105 | +320 |
| Denver Nuggets | -9.5 -105 | U 242.5 -115 | -425 |
Nuggets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 away games (+14.67 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 away games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+15.47 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+15.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 28 games at home (+15.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 21-39 (-21.85 Units / -32.06% ROI).
- 29-33 against the Moneyline (-16 Units / -11.95% ROI)
- 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.47% ROI)
- 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.62% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 31-30 (-2 Units / -2.93% ROI).
- 40-22 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units / 0.77% ROI)
- 36-26 against the Over for game total points (+7.4 Units / 10.85% ROI)
- 26-36 against the Under for game total points (-13.6 Units / -19.94% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 77 games (-29.65 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 92 games (-26.65 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.85 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 60 games (-23.55 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 94 games (-20.05 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 79 games (-33.67 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 23 of their last 71 games (-27.55 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-27.20 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 65 games (-21.06 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.25 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Suns were 19-9 (.679) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Suns are 7-11 (.389) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Suns are 9-13 (.409) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530
The Suns were 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Nuggets are 39-12 (.765) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Suns have allowed 116.0 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 39-18 (.684) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Nuggets are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 6.3 fast break points per game (391 points/62 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Suns have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (792 points/144 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns averaged 1.36 points per shot (4,925 points/3,629 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Suns have averaged 1.34 points per shot (8,464 points/6,323 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 59.1 points in the paint per game (3,664 points/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.8
The Nuggets have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (638 points/32 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Nuggets have averaged 61.9 points in the paint per game (1,980 points/32 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.5
The Nuggets have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (660 points/62 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,248 rebounds/62 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (808 blocks/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Suns have averaged 7.3 steals per game (1,058 steals/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Suns have averaged 7.2 steals per game (448 steals/62 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,301 rebounds/62 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,091 steals/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (293 blocks/62 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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