Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (17-8) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Suns (16-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Sunday, December 11, 2022 at 3:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Pelicans Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 14-12 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 14-11 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+3.5 -105O 226.5 -115+135
New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 -115U 226.5 -115-160

Pelicans vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 61 of their last 95 games (+24.19 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 63 of their last 95 games (+19.31 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.71 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.68 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Moneyline in 62 of their last 94 games (+10.08 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+20.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.31 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 75 games (+16.46 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.74 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 14-12 (+0.85 Units / 2.98% ROI).

  • 16-10 against the Moneyline (-8.7 Units / -11.66% ROI)
  • 12-13 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.04% ROI)
  • 13-12 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 14-11 (+1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI).

  • 17-8 against the Moneyline (+3.25 Units / 5.84% ROI)
  • 13-12 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI)
  • 12-13 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 87 games (-28.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 87 games (-27.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 42 games at home (-20.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (-34.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 96 games (-28.37 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 91 games (-24.15 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 52 games (-20.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 65 games (-17.45 Units / -16% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Dec. 11

  • Herbert Jones (Pelicans): Jones did not play in Friday’s game (Dec. 9) against the Suns.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram did not play in Friday’s game (Dec. 9) against the Suns.
  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Devin Booker (Suns): Booker is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s (Dec. 11) game against New Orleans.
  • Duane Washington Jr. (Suns): Washington Jr. did not play in Friday’s game (Dec. 9) against the Pelicans.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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