Suns vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns (28-26) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (14-39)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & NBCS-PH

The Phoenix Suns visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Pistons Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 29-25 against the spread, while the Pistons are 23-27 against the spread.


Bet now on Pistons vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Suns vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-4.5 -115O 227.5 -110-190
Detroit Pistons +4.5 -105U 227.5 -110+155

Pistons vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 63.3% confidence.

Pistons vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Pistons vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.84 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 57 of their last 96 games (+14.43 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 away games (+10.07 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 64 games (+23.16 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (+18.86 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 75 games (+18.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.66 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.21 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI).

  • 28-26 against the Moneyline (-5.75 Units / -4.91% ROI)
  • 26-27 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.23% ROI)
  • 27-26 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.69% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 23-27 (-6.75 Units / -11.57% ROI).

  • 14-39 against the Moneyline (-8.1 Units / -14.73% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 84 games (-32.78 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 83 games (-26.09 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.54 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 56 games (-16.84 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 39 games at home (-16.08 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 93 games (-22.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.21 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 73 games (-19.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (-18.80 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 80 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Suns are 33-7 (.825) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 52-11 (.825) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 58-10 (.853) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .686

The Suns are 30-15 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .493

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Detroit Pistons are 11-71 (.134) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 47.3 rebounds per game (6,049 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Detroit Pistons are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pistons are 23-73 (.240) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 24-60 (.286) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Pistons vs. SunsSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Bagley III underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated in about six weeks.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • Cory Joseph (Pistons): Joseph did not play in Friday’s game (Feb. 3) against the Hornets.
  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson did not play in Friday’s (Feb.3) game against Boston.
  • Cameron Payne (Suns): Payne will be re-evaluated in two weeks, according to Duane Rankin of The Arizona Republic.
  • Devin Booker (Suns): The Suns announced that Booker continues to progress and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet is out indefinitely, according to Duane Rankin of The Arizona Republic.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,467 assists/ 2,529 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,719 assists/ 1,253 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,609/1,947) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Suns have 20.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,036/11,478) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,497/5,638) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 51% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,518 rebounds/48 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Suns have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (908 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have 1,037 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (261 blocks/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,493 rebounds/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0

The Pistons have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (171 blocks/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,136 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (564 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Pistons vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.