Suns vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 19

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The Phoenix Suns visit Moody Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Austin, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Suns vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 35-20 against the spread, while the Spurs are 31-23 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns O
San Antonio Spurs U

Spurs vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Thursday‘s game with 72.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Spurs.

Spurs vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 62.4% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 35-20 (+13 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 32-23 against the Moneyline (+13.1 Units / 14.11% ROI)
  • 24-31 against the Over for game total points (-10.1 Units / -16.69% ROI)
  • 31-24 against the Under for game total points (+4.6 Units / 7.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 31-23 (+5.7 Units / 9.6% ROI).

  • 38-16 against the Moneyline (+15.95 Units / 10.85% ROI)
  • 22-32 against the Over for game total points (-13.2 Units / -22.22% ROI)
  • 32-22 against the Under for game total points (+7.8 Units / 13.13% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.20 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games (-14.20 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games at home (-12.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.90 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 20 games (-17.65 Units / -67% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 4 of their last 20 games (-14.95 Units / -63% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.22 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Suns were 6-6 (.500) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Suns are 21-10 (.677) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .523

The Suns were 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Spurs are 15-1 (.938) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .695

The Spurs are 24-6 (.800) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have a 21% free throw rate (521 free throw attempts/2,500 field goal attempts) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Suns have 20.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (130 assists/ 109 TOs) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (4,602 points/219 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs are shooting 35% from three (701/2,018) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,797 rebounds/55 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Suns have averaged 10.1 steals per game (555 steals/55 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (219 blocks/55 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have 555 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,019 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,828 rebounds/218 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (637 blocks/107 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.