Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

• The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
• Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
• Watch the game on FDOK | KTVK | AZFS

The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 46-34 against the spread, while the Thunder are 39-42 against the spread.

Bet now on Thunder vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM

Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Thunder.

Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 61.0% confidence.

Bet now on Thunder vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.03 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games (+19.15 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 46-34 (+8.6 Units / 9.65% ROI).

• 44-37 against the Moneyline (+3.35 Units / 2.02% ROI)
• 36-44 against the Over for game total points (-12.4 Units / -13.92% ROI)
• 44-36 against the Under for game total points (+4.4 Units / 4.94% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-42 (-7.2 Units / -8.08% ROI).

• 64-17 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 0.53% ROI)
• 43-38 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 1.35% ROI)
• 38-43 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -10.44% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games at home (-33.95 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (-29.30 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (-15.50 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games at home (-14.60 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games at home (-13.75 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 45 games (-27.05 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 games (-22.50 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.31 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.50 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.45 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are undefeated (11-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .854

The Suns are 25-10 (.714) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Suns are 3-20 (.130) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Suns are 14-7 (.667) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 113-14 (.890) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Thunder are 28-8 (.778) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Thunder are 50-11 (.820) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (1,722 points/41 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Suns are shooting 42% (351/838) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Suns have averaged 42.9 points in the paint per game (3,472 points/81 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns have averaged 112.0 points per game (4,592 points/41 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.4

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (512 turnovers/81 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (3,021 turnovers/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder are shooting 82% from the free throw line (2,099/2,562) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Thunder have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,629 rebounds/81 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns have 776 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (339 blocks/81 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (459/1,369) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,214 steals/124 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (891 steals/83 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (9,551/21,598) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 10.0 steals per game (1,634 steals/163 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Bet now on Thunder vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.