Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 19

• The Thunder are -14.5 favorites vs. the Suns
• Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 48-35 against the spread, while the Thunder are 39-43 against the spread.

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Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Thunder.

Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+14.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.58 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 48-35 (+9.5 Units / 10.28% ROI).

• 46-38 against the Moneyline (+5.4 Units / 3.18% ROI)
• 38-45 against the Over for game total points (-11.5 Units / -12.45% ROI)
• 45-38 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 3.46% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-43 (-8.3 Units / -9.2% ROI).

• 64-18 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.01% ROI)
• 44-38 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.44% ROI)
• 38-44 against the Under for game total points (-10.4 Units / -11.53% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (-36.30 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games at home (-26.70 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games at home (-18.35 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (-16.32 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-13.30 Units / -38% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-25.85 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.75 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.71 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.65 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 21 games (-13.10 Units / -55% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are 3-20 (.130) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Suns are undefeated (17-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Suns are 26-16 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Suns are 14-7 (.667) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .584

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 28-9 (.757) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Thunder are 82-8 (.911) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Thunder are 33-4 (.892) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 43.1 points in the paint per game (3,536 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns have a 21% free throw rate (778 free throw attempts/3,780 field goal attempts) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Suns have a 23% free throw rate (1,663 free throw attempts/7,389 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Suns have averaged 44.1 points in the paint per game (10,842 points/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (3,031 turnovers/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,221 rebounds/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,673 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns have averaged 9.5 steals per game (781 steals/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (347 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (333 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,223 steals/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,337 steals/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (6,279/14,377) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

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