Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 02, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSOK & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 39-36 against the spread, while the Thunder are 45-32 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-5.5 -110O 236.5 -110-225
Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 -110U 236.5 -110+180

Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 63.6% confidence.

Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.58 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+21.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 38 games at home (+20.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+16.29 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.47 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.97 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 39-36 (-0.6 Units / -0.71% ROI).

  • 42-35 against the Moneyline (-1.25 Units / -0.74% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.19% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-32 (+9.9 Units / 11.55% ROI).

  • 38-40 against the Moneyline (+13.3 Units / 12.31% ROI)
  • 43-34 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.53% ROI)
  • 34-43 against the Under for game total points (-13.3 Units / -15.5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-27.92 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 38 games at home (-26.50 Units / -61% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.92 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.96 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-26.95 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 90 games (-25.54 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.32 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 73 games (-24.24 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.71 Units / -20% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Phoenix Suns are 7-17 (.292) when losing the rebounding margin this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 57.2 rebounds per game (3,892 rebounds/68 games) this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 39-9 (.812) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 85-32 (.726) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns are 33-10 (.767) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

Injury Report: Thunder vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Apr. 2

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
  • Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,024 assists/ 1,456 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,966 assists/ 1,014 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,872 assists/ 1,468 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (6,031 assists/ 2,912 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,201 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,718 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (318 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,452 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.