Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 22

• The Thunder are -17.5 favorites vs. the Suns
• Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
• Watch the game on ESPN

The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 48-36 against the spread, while the Thunder are 40-43 against the spread.

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Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Thunder.

Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.78 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.48 Units / 19% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 48-36 (+8.4 Units / 8.98% ROI).

• 46-39 against the Moneyline (+4.4 Units / 2.58% ROI)
• 38-46 against the Over for game total points (-12.6 Units / -13.48% ROI)
• 46-38 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 4.49% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 40-43 (-7.3 Units / -8% ROI).

• 65-18 against the Moneyline (+0.95 Units / 0.17% ROI)
• 44-39 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.2% ROI)
• 39-44 against the Under for game total points (-9.4 Units / -10.3% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games at home (-35.30 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games at home (-23.45 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games at home (-18.35 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (-13.92 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.16 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-28.20 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.95 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.86 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.65 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.85 Units / -37% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are 3-20 (.130) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Suns are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Suns are undefeated (12-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

The Suns are 7-7 (.500) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 113-15 (.883) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Thunder are 98-15 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

The Thunder are 74-20 (.787) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 43.1 points in the paint per game (3,536 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns are shooting 42% (351/838) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Suns have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (1,722 points/41 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (3,031 turnovers/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (518 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (990 turnovers/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (1,502 turnovers/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,673 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns have averaged 9.5 steals per game (781 steals/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have 781 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,581 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,223 steals/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (799 blocks/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (6,279/14,377) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

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