Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Phoenix Suns visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Suns vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 41-26 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 28-40 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 63.3% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.84 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 41-26 (+12.4 Units / 16.58% ROI).

  • 39-29 against the Moneyline (+10.7 Units / 9.07% ROI)
  • 30-37 against the Over for game total points (-10.7 Units / -14.3% ROI)
  • 37-30 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 5.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 28-40 (-16.05 Units / -21.44% ROI).

  • 41-27 against the Moneyline (-20.15 Units / -9.77% ROI)
  • 32-36 against the Over for game total points (-7.6 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 36-32 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (-25.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-20.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (-20.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 25 games (-19.88 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 games at home (-19.45 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games (-16.50 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.85 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 25 away games (-12.55 Units / -44% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Suns are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .691

The Suns are 34-12 (.739) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644

The Suns were 13-4 (.765) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Suns are 4-5 (.444) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves are 19-5 (.792) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 18-7 (.720) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

The Timberwolves are 23-8 (.742) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 20.8 points in the paint per game (4,824 points/232 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Suns have averaged 42.7 points in the paint per game (2,904 points/68 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Suns have averaged 19.9 points in the paint per game (1,356 points/68 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Suns have a 21% free throw rate (636 free throw attempts/3,037 field goal attempts) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.38 points per shot (4,153 points/3,018 shots) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have averaged 122.1 points per game (4,153 points/34 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.6

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,553/4,085) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,220 rebounds/68 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (277 blocks/68 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns averaged 7.2 steals per game (593 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,419 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (8,306 rebounds/232 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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