Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 17

  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | FDSN | AZFS

The Phoenix Suns visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 4-9 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 5-8 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+7.5 -110O 218.5 -110+230
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -110U 218.5 -110-300

Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.1% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 63 of their last 99 games (+22.63 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 4-9 (-5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI).

  • 9-4 against the Moneyline (+5.65 Units / 20.62% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 5-8 (-3.85 Units / -26.83% ROI).

  • 7-6 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -18.82% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (-38.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-23.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-22.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 88 games (-32.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-31.83 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-26.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 82 games (-22.45 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 47 games (-22.22 Units / -41% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Suns are 50-29 (.633) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Suns were 13-4 (.765) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Suns are 16-4 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606

The Suns are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves were 24-10 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves are 25-14 (.641) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Nov. 17

  • Minnesota Timberwolves – No Injuries Reported
  • Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 18.6 points in the paint per game (242 points/13 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.9

The Suns have averaged 39.5 points in the paint per game (514 points/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Suns have averaged 21.3 points in the paint per game (2,028 points/95 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

The Suns had an eFG% of 56% last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (568 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/13 games) this season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (484 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Suns have averaged 7.5 steals per game (98 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Suns have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,466 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (318 blocks/47 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.