Thunder vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 21

• The Favorite Team are Favorite Spread favorites vs. the Underdog Team
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on Broadcast Home

The visit to take on the on . Tipoff is scheduled for in .

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The vs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the are 22-22 against the spread, while the are 19-23 against the spread.

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vs. Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

vs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win ‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both and .

vs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for ‘s game with 64.1% confidence.

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Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2H Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.92 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 22-22 (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 36-8 against the Moneyline (+2.2 Units / 0.71% ROI)
• 23-21 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.21% ROI)
• 21-23 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -8.88% ROI)

Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 19-23 (-6.3 Units / -13.65% ROI).

• 18-24 against the Moneyline (-11.9 Units / -17.17% ROI)
• 17-25 against the Over for game total points (-10.5 Units / -22.73% ROI)
• 25-17 against the Under for game total points (+6.3 Units / 13.64% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-20.90 Units / -52% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.90 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.85 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-17.60 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.75 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 away games (-21.80 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 away games (-21.55 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (-20.15 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-15.30 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Away team
• Keys to Winning for the Home team
• Player Injuries for Away vs. Home
• Away Offensive stats
• Home Offensive stats
• Away Defensive stats
• Home Defensive stats

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Thunder are 16-1 (.941) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .625

The Thunder are 12-1 (.923) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Thunder were 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Thunder are 26-6 (.812) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Bucks were 21-13 (.618) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Bucks were 41-27 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks were 26-12 (.684) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 15-10 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (109 assists/ 41 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (748 turnovers/65 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (485 points/42 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Bucks have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (231 points/42 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks are shooting 45% from three (101/225) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (1,987 steals/208 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.3 steals per game (735 steals/65 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 42% (790/1,893) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,261 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 7.8 steals per game (328 steals/42 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (172 blocks/42 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

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