Thunder vs Clippers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Clippers (38-35) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (36-36)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Thursday, March 23, 2023 at 10:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBA TV & NBA TV

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the LA Clippers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Clippers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Clippers Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 45-26 against the spread, while the Clippers are 36-37 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Clippers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+4.5 -115O 231.5 -110+155
LA Clippers -4.5 -105U 231.5 -110-190

Clippers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Clippers will win Thursday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

Clippers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Clippers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 77 games (+25.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 82 games (+25.22 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+12.82 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 41 games at home (+20.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 77 games (+17.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.79 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games at home (+15.29 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.65 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-26 (+16.5 Units / 20.85% ROI).

  • 36-36 against the Moneyline (+19.85 Units / 21.96% ROI)
  • 41-30 against the Over for game total points (+8 Units / 10.1% ROI)
  • 30-41 against the Under for game total points (-15.1 Units / -19.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone 36-37 (-4.75 Units / -5.92% ROI).

  • 38-35 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -8.2% ROI)
  • 32-41 against the Over for game total points (-13.1 Units / -16.31% ROI)
  • 41-32 against the Under for game total points (+5.8 Units / 7.22% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 77 games (-47.33 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 77 games (-31.59 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 75 games (-30.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 41 games at home (-24.10 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-23.47 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 75 games (-22.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.51 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.00 Units / -23% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the LA Clippers

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

LA Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The LA Clippers are 41-24 (.631) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (2,242 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Clippers are 62-28 (.689) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Clippers are 18-12 (.600) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Clippers are 32-6 (.842) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

Injury Report: Clippers vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Mar. 23

  • Brandon Boston Jr. (Clippers): Boston Jr. hasn’t played since Feb. 14 against Golden State and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Paul George (Clippers): George has a sprained right knee and will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Norman Powell (Clippers): The Clippers announced that Powell will be re-evaluated in a week.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

LA Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers shot 41% from three (1,027/2,498) in the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Clippers are shooting 40% from three (1,494/3,771) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Clippers have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (3,196 points/152 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

The Clippers have averaged 43.3 points in the paint per game (9,700 points/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

LA Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,190 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Clippers have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,529 rebounds/70 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Clippers have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,550 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Clippers have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (384 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.