- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDSE | FDOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Thunder vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 33-22 against the spread, while the Hawks are 28-31 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | O | ||
| Atlanta Hawks | U |
Hawks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Hawks.
Hawks vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 90 games (+15.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 73 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 54 games (+17.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+15.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.61 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 33-22 (+8.8 Units / 13.56% ROI).
- 47-12 against the Moneyline (+7.9 Units / 2.35% ROI)
- 33-25 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 8.47% ROI)
- 25-33 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -17.41% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 28-31 (-6.1 Units / -9.41% ROI).
- 27-32 against the Moneyline (+7.3 Units / 8.88% ROI)
- 34-25 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 10.02% ROI)
- 25-34 against the Under for game total points (-12.4 Units / -19.11% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-27.00 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.80 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.30 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 61 games (-17.58 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.45 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.20 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-17.95 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 59 of their last 93 games (-17.85 Units / -6% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.70 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 31 games (-16.20 Units / -48% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Thunder are 26-9 (.743) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Thunder are 40-6 (.870) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638
The Thunder are 51-8 (.864) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .586
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Hawks are 9-1 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819
The Hawks were 5-7 (.417) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Hawks are 14-14 (.500) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Hawks were 19-25 (.432) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks made 13.7 three-pointers per game last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Hawks have 24.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
The Hawks had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,284 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 10.9 steals per game (590 steals/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 10.0 steals per game (561 steals/56 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (290 blocks/56 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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