Oklahoma City Thunder vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 29, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Hornets (9-26) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (15-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Thursday, December 29, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte.

The Hornets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Hornets Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 21-13 against the spread, while the Hornets are 15-18 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+1.5 -115O 238.5 -110+100
Charlotte Hornets -1.5 -105U 238.5 -110-120

Hornets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Hornets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games (+30.68 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 68 games (+19.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+13.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 58 games (+11.78 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 21-13 (+6.75 Units / 18.07% ROI).

  • 15-19 against the Moneyline (+7.55 Units / 19.56% ROI)
  • 19-14 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.63% ROI)
  • 14-19 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -18.45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 15-18 (-4.8 Units / -12.48% ROI).

  • 9-26 against the Moneyline (-8.8 Units / -23.28% ROI)
  • 18-17 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.82% ROI)
  • 17-18 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -7.27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-25.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-24.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.74 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 39 games at home (-22.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.94 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 74 games (-37.35 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.55 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.34 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-20.30 Units / -23% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Hornets are 28-35 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Hornets are 4-22 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

The Hornets are 16-25 (.390) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hornets are 8-42 (.160) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .268

Injury Report: Hornets vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Dec. 29

  • Kelly Oubre Jr. (Hornets): Oubre Jr. is Doubtful for Thursday’s (Dec 29) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Nick Richards (Hornets): Richards is Out for Thursday’s (Dec 29) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin underwent surgery on his left knee and will about six weeks, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Hornets): Smith Jr. is Questionable for Thursday’s (Dec 29) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Ousmane Dieng (Thunder): Dieng suffered a fracture in his right wrist during Wednesday’s (Dec 14) Oklahoma City Blue game and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
  • Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Thunder): Robinson-Earl hasn’t played since Dec. 12 against Dallas. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 1.12 points per shot (629 points/561 shots) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Hornets have a TS% of 46% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Hornets have averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,522 points/1,286 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,272 assists/ 573 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,360 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hornets have blocked 77 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have 1,360 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,550 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1


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