Thunder vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 06, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Thunder (38-42) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Jazz (36-43)
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Thursday, April 6, 2023 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Vivint Arena to take on the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Jazz Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 45-34 against the spread, while the Jazz are 45-34 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-6.5 -115O 239.5 -110-275
Utah Jazz +6.5 -105U 239.5 -110+220

Jazz vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 67.2% confidence.

Jazz vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Jazz, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.47 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 77 games (+13.67 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.48 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.68 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.39 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-34 (+7.7 Units / 8.76% ROI).

  • 38-42 against the Moneyline (+11.3 Units / 10.27% ROI)
  • 45-34 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units / 8.64% ROI)
  • 34-45 against the Under for game total points (-15.5 Units / -17.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 45-34 (+7.6 Units / 8.74% ROI).

  • 36-43 against the Moneyline (-17.85 Units / -13.98% ROI)
  • 45-31 against the Over for game total points (+10.9 Units / 12.54% ROI)
  • 31-45 against the Under for game total points (-18.5 Units / -21.29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 66 games (-31.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 61 games (-28.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-24.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (-24.83 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-24.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 83 games (-29.92 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-27.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-19.98 Units / -22% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Jazz are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .140

The Jazz are 1-15 (.062) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Jazz are 23-31 (.426) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Jazz are 82-40 (.672) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Jazz vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Apr. 6

  • Walker Kessler (Jazz): Kessler is expected to miss the remainder of the season, according to Tony Jones of The Athletic.
  • Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): Markkanen is out for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Rudy Gay (Jazz): Gay is out for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Jordan Clarkson (Jazz): Clarkson hasn’t played since Mar. 5 against Oklahoma City and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
  • Luguentz Dort (Thunder): Dort is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Utah.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 second chance points per game (1,751 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Jazz have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (823 assists/ 535 TOs) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Jazz have averaged 1.31 points per shot (8,089 points/6,166 shots) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,461 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,506 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Jazz have blocked 367 shots this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Jazz have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,140 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.