Thunder vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ESPN | FDOK | MSG

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in New York, NY.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Knicks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 31-32 against the spread, while the Knicks are 33-28 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Knicks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 63.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Knicks.

Knicks vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)

Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.71 Units / 12% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-32 (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI).

• 48-15 against the Moneyline (-10.7 Units / -2.76% ROI)
• 34-29 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI)
• 29-34 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -12.12% ROI)

New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 33-28 (+2.2 Units / 3.23% ROI).

• 40-22 against the Moneyline (-0.5 Units / -0.3% ROI)
• 29-33 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.7% ROI)
• 33-29 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.61% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:

• The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.20 Units / -37% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-19.85 Units / -24% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games at home (-18.25 Units / -34% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.20 Units / -36% ROI)
• The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games (-14.95 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (-31.05 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-27.40 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 away games (-24.60 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (-17.45 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 away games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• New York Knicks Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• New York Knicks Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Thunder are 93-14 (.869) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

The Thunder are 76-8 (.905) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639

The Thunder are 41-7 (.854) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Thunder are 25-7 (.781) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Knicks are 30-4 (.882) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

The Knicks are 118-32 (.787) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656

The Knicks are undefeated (16-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635

The Knicks are 22-9 (.710) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .584

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (796 turnovers/63 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,172 rebounds/62 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0

The Knicks averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,557 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Knicks have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (1,006 points/62 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Knicks have averaged 27.2 assists per game (1,687 assists/62 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 steals per game (810 steals/74 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.9 steals per game (1,133 steals/115 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (324 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (917 blocks/226 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (257 blocks/62 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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