Thunder vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 11

• The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
• Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Lakers Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 43-45 against the spread, while the Lakers are 50-41 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Lakers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Lakers.

Lakers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games (+19.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 away games (+15.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.28 Units / 33% ROI)

Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+15.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 19 games at home (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 43-45 (-6.5 Units / -6.71% ROI).

• 70-18 against the Moneyline (+5.95 Units / 0.97% ROI)
• 47-41 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 1.96% ROI)
• 41-47 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -11.05% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 50-41 (+4.9 Units / 4.9% ROI).

• 57-34 against the Moneyline (+19.85 Units / 9.24% ROI)
• 45-44 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -3.4% ROI)
• 44-45 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -5.49% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.80 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games at home (-14.60 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games at home (-13.15 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-12.00 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.80 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (-20.65 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 away games (-18.63 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (-15.50 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.60 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 20 away games (-12.15 Units / -53% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Thunder are 26-5 (.839) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Thunder are 50-12 (.806) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Thunder are 103-25 (.805) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

The Thunder are 32-4 (.889) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Lakers are 12-6 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Lakers are 15-2 (.882) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Lakers are 18-10 (.643) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Lakers are 26-10 (.722) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (518 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 13.6 second chance points per game (1,119 points/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers are shooting 50% (3,448/6,863) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,540 points/6,863 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Lakers have an eFG% of 57% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,779/3,498) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed 12.0 fast break points per game (981 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (6,279/14,377) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (796 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (351 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Lakers have allowed 16.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,357 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (477/1,447) at home this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

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