Thunder vs Mavericks Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 1

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on KFAA | FDOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 31-30 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 26-33 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 74.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 away games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.37 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.90 Units / 71% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-30 (-2 Units / -2.98% ROI).

• 46-15 against the Moneyline (-12.7 Units / -3.4% ROI)
• 34-27 against the Over for game total points (+4.3 Units / 6.41% ROI)
• 27-34 against the Under for game total points (-10.4 Units / -15.5% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 26-33 (-10.35 Units / -15.94% ROI).

• 21-38 against the Moneyline (-12.85 Units / -16.71% ROI)
• 27-32 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.63% ROI)
• 32-27 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 3.54% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-21.45 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 games (-20.10 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.75 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-15.75 Units / -39% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (-31.05 Units / -14% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (-22.15 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 away games (-19.45 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (-17.45 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.70 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Thunder are 22-2 (.917) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

The Thunder are 25-7 (.781) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Thunder were 34-6 (.850) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Thunder are 61-8 (.884) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Mavericks are 13-34 (.277) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Mavericks were 1-19 (.050) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182

The Mavericks are 2-24 (.077) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Mavericks were 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (875 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,739 turnovers/143 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks have averaged 19.0 fast break points per game (609 points/32 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Mavericks are shooting 74% from the free throw line (1,123/1,517) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 steals per game (810 steals/74 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,142 steals/225 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 9.9 steals per game (1,133 steals/115 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,190 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks have blocked 313 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (443 steals/59 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

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