Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 12, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (13-13) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (11-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Monday, December 12, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Mavericks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 15-11 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 8-16 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+8.5 -115O 228.5 -110+280
Dallas Mavericks -8.5 -105U 228.5 -110-350

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 70.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+25.84 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 60 games (+16.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+13.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 99 games (+28.24 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+16.96 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 15-11 (+2.95 Units / 10.33% ROI).

  • 11-15 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 15.98% ROI)
  • 15-10 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 13.99% ROI)
  • 10-15 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -22.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 8-16 (-9.6 Units / -33.57% ROI).

  • 13-13 against the Moneyline (-16.85 Units / -28.44% ROI)
  • 16-10 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 10-16 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 99 games (-40.45 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 100 games (-20.69 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (-20.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games at home (-16.37 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 76 games (-36.90 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 69 games (-20.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 62 games (-18.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-18.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-18.30 Units / -24% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. ThunderMonday‘s Game, Dec. 12

  • Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Josh Green (Mavericks): Green is out for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Luka Doncic (Mavericks): Doncic is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): Williams is out for Monday’s (Dec. 12) game against Dallas.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.