Basketball
Dallas MavericksOklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 29

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Mavericks Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 4-1 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 3-1 against the spread.

Bet now on Mavericks vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+10.5 -115O 218.5 -110375
Dallas Mavericks -10.5 -105U 218.5 -110-500

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 83.6% confidence.

Mavericks vs Thunder Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+19.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+15.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 games (+12.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.12 Units / 29% ROI)
    •
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 100 games (+25.18 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 42 games at home (+18.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+18.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 72 games (+16.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games at home (+15.65 Units / 26% ROI)
    •

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 4-1 (+2.95 Units / 54.13% ROI).

    • 2-3 against the Moneyline (+1.05 Units / 21% ROI)
    • 2-3 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
    • 3-2 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

    • 2-2 against the Moneyline (-1.2 Units / -17.39% ROI)
    • 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
    • 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 100 games (-36.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 42 games at home (-23.10 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-21.22 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 100 games (-18.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 95 games (-16.95 Units / -16% ROI)
    •
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 55 games (-29.65 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 48 games (-18.41 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 39 away games (-16.05 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 54 games (-15.92 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 72 games (-15.55 Units / -19% ROI)
    •

    Jump to:

    Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

    The Thunder are 17-44 (.279) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Thunder were 3-15 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

    The Thunder were 4-17 (.190) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

    The Thunder are winless (0-29) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .145

    Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

    The Mavericks were 19-6 (.760) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Mavericks are 49-4 (.925) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776

    The Mavericks are 27-15 (.643) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    The Mavericks are 18-12 (.600) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

    Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Thunder – Saturday‘s Game, Oct. 29

  • Frank Ntilikina (Mavericks): The Mavs have listed Ntilikina as OUT for Saturday’s game (Oct. 29) against the Thunder.
  • Davis Bertans (Mavericks): The Mavs have listed Bertans as OUT for Saturday’s game (Oct. 29) against the Thunder.
    •
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Jalen Williams (Thunder): The Thunder have listed Williams as OUT for Saturday’s game (Oct. 29) against the Mavs.
  • Josh Giddey (Thunder): The Thunder have listed Giddey as OUT for Saturday’s game (Oct. 29) against the Mavs.
    •

    Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder averaged 1.16 points per shot (8,506 points/7,310 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Thunder had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Thunder have an eFG% of 49% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (1,848/5,595) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Mavericks averaged 42.3 points in the paint per game (1,734 points/41 games) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.5

    The Mavericks averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (958 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Mavericks have averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (880 turnovers/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

    The Mavericks averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (821 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

    Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,885 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Thunder have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,453 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Thunder stole the ball 623 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

    The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (326 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Mavericks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (325 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Mavericks averaged 6.7 steals per game (550 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,000 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Mavericks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (636 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    Bet now on Mavericks vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM

    Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    ,