Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 1

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Denver, CO.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 23-26 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 29-20 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 69.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.9% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+15.45 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 23-26 (-5.6 Units / -10.39% ROI).

• 38-11 against the Moneyline (-11.4 Units / -3.39% ROI)
• 25-24 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)
• 24-25 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 29-20 (+7 Units / 12.98% ROI).

• 33-16 against the Moneyline (+7.65 Units / 5.85% ROI)
• 30-19 against the Over for game total points (+9.13 Units / 16.95% ROI)
• 19-30 against the Under for game total points (-14 Units / -25.95% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.55 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-15.25 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-14.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 17 games at home (-14.73 Units / -53% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (-33.75 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 24 games (-26.85 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (-23.25 Units / -11% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 away games (-19.25 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 away games (-16.30 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Thunder are 17-1 (.944) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630

The Thunder are 19-2 (.905) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .527

The Thunder are 85-12 (.876) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder are 71-7 (.910) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Nuggets are 32-6 (.842) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616

The Nuggets are 22-5 (.815) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Nuggets are 17-5 (.773) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603

The Nuggets are 0-14 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 109.6 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (603 turnovers/49 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (119 assists/ 46 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder have averaged 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (689 rebounds/49 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (677/1,700) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (3,235 assists/ 1,366 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (368/891) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,023 steals/213 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,864/4,316) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (8,301/18,768) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (203 blocks/49 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (335 steals/49 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have forced 12.0 turnovers per game (586 turnovers/49 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

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