- The Thunder (38-39) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (33-44)
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
- Friday, March 31, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on BSIN & BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Thunder vs Pacers Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 45-31 against the spread, while the Pacers are 39-38 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -3.5 -115 | O 235.5 | -165 |
Indiana Pacers | +3.5 -105 | U 235.5 | +140 |
Pacers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 58.3% confidence.
Pacers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Pacers vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (+21.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 82 games (+15.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+13.47 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+11.12 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 77 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+13.23 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.87 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.07 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 72 games (+10.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-31 (+11 Units / 12.99% ROI).
- 38-39 against the Moneyline (+15.6 Units / 14.75% ROI)
- 43-33 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 7.91% ROI)
- 33-43 against the Under for game total points (-14.3 Units / -16.88% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 39-38 (-2.8 Units / -3.31% ROI).
- 33-44 against the Moneyline (+7.65 Units / 8.08% ROI)
- 38-38 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.49% ROI)
- 38-38 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.49% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 82 games (-35.80 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 59 games (-27.71 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 82 games (-27.50 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 64 games (-22.29 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 59 games (-22.12 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 80 games (-26.64 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.92 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.79 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.82 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240
The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225
The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Indiana Pacers are 9-37 (.196) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for second-highest among NBA teams.
The Indiana Pacers are 19-54 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 55.9 rebounds per game (8,440 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.
The Pacers are 18-35 (.340) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450
The Pacers are 27-49 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
Injury Report: Pacers vs. Thunder – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 31
- Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Oklahoma City.
- Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Oklahoma City.
- Buddy Hield (Pacers): Hield did not play in Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Milwaukee.
- Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
- Myles Turner (Pacers): Turner did not play in Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Milwaukee.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Lindy Waters III (Thunder): Waters III is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Indiana.
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): Gilgeous-Alexander is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Indiana.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (1,282 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Pacers have averaged 16.0 fast break points per game (3,564 points/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9
The Pacers have averaged 10.1 fast break points per game (699 points/69 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Pacers have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (602 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (661 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Pacers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,304 rebounds/69 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (1,331 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (414 blocks/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
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