- The Pelicans (42-40) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (40-42)
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
- Wednesday, April 12, 2023 at 9:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on ESPN & ESPN
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in New Orleans.
The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 47-34 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 39-41 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +5.5 -110 | O 226.5 -110 | +180 |
New Orleans Pelicans | -5.5 -110 | U 226.5 -110 | -225 |
Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.6% confidence.
Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 79 games (+16.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 79 games (+15.67 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+14.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 82 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 74 games (+25.28 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 42 games (+22.78 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+15.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+15.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 47-34 (+9.7 Units / 10.76% ROI).
- 40-42 against the Moneyline (+13.3 Units / 11.65% ROI)
- 45-36 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 5.99% ROI)
- 36-45 against the Under for game total points (-13.5 Units / -14.97% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 39-41 (-6.1 Units / -6.77% ROI).
- 42-40 against the Moneyline (-7.6 Units / -5.12% ROI)
- 38-44 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -11.53% ROI)
- 44-38 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 76 games (-35.25 Units / -41% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 50 games (-28.09 Units / -51% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.30 Units / -41% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-22.75 Units / -27% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-19.80 Units / -32% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-24.92 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 64 games (-24.08 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (-17.20 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.75 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-16.30 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Thunder are 1-38 (.026) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .242
The Thunder are 30-50 (.375) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Thunder are 31-107 (.225) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350
The Thunder are 27-50 (.351) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Pelicans are 17-34 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435
The Pelicans are 10-46 (.179) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227
The Pelicans are 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777
The Pelicans are 38-44 (.463) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
Injury Report: Pelicans vs. Thunder – Wednesday‘s Game, Apr. 12
- Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. is questionable for Wednesday’s (Apr.12) game against Oklahoma City.
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will continue his rehabilitation and conditioning regimen. They did not offer a timetable for his return.
- Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Alvarado has resumed on-court basketball activities and not expected to play for at least one week.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is out for Wednesday’s (Apr. 12) game against New Orleans.
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,611 assists/ 1,709 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (12,641 points/10,627 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder shot 34% from three (857/2,529) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans averaged 114.6 points per game (8,251 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
The Pelicans have made 10.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Pelicans have made 10.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
The Pelicans have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,196 turnovers/82 games) this season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Thunder have averaged 8.1 steals per game (668 steals/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (493 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (339 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pelicans have averaged 7.9 steals per game (928 steals/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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