Thunder vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Raptors (33-36) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (34-35)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Raptors Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 43-25 against the spread, while the Raptors are 34-35 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+6.5 -110O 231.5 -105+200
Toronto Raptors -6.5 -110U 231.5 -105-250

Raptors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Thursday‘s game with 62.0% confidence.

Raptors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 83 games (+31.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 74 games (+23.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 83 games (+19.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 83 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+13.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+12.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+9.38 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.99 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 43-25 (+15.6 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 34-35 against the Moneyline (+17.65 Units / 20.23% ROI)
  • 39-29 against the Over for game total points (+7.1 Units / 9.35% ROI)
  • 29-39 against the Under for game total points (-13.9 Units / -18.31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 34-35 (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI).

  • 33-36 against the Moneyline (-18.1 Units / -14.15% ROI)
  • 38-30 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 6.59% ROI)
  • 30-38 against the Under for game total points (-11.8 Units / -15.55% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 43 games (-29.56 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-25.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 89 games (-23.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 43 games (-21.77 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 57 games (-19.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-28.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 72 games (-23.82 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.17 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.19 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.18 Units / -21% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Raptors are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723

The Raptors are 17-27 (.386) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Raptors are 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Raptors are 10-3 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696

Injury Report: Raptors vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Dalano Banton (Raptors): Banton is out for Thursday’s (Mar. 16) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (1,366 turnovers/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (813 turnovers/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Raptors have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (894 turnovers/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (390 turnovers/68 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,951 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,372 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,987 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,416 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.