- The Thunder (24-26) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (12-38)
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Wednesday, February 1, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Thunder vs Rockets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 32-18 against the spread, while the Rockets are 18-29 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -6.5 -105 | O 232.5 -110 | -250 |
Houston Rockets | +6.5 -115 | U 232.5 -110 | +190 |
Rockets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 67.5% confidence.
Rockets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 57.5% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+34.44 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 83 games (+27.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 76 games (+17.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockets Bets Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+12.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.17 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 32-18 (+12.25 Units / 22.27% ROI).
- 24-26 against the Moneyline (+17.1 Units / 30.35% ROI)
- 28-21 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 8.91% ROI)
- 21-28 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -17.82% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 18-29 (-13.9 Units / -25.3% ROI).
- 12-38 against the Moneyline (-11.6 Units / -22.61% ROI)
- 24-26 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -8.36% ROI)
- 26-24 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.73% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 81 games (-27.25 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.10 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.74 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-20.74 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.55 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 76 games (-29.05 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 82 games (-24.90 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.65 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-21.60 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.80 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 14-35 (.286) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (1,524 turnovers/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-27 (.129) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks has shot 36% from three (1,564/4,294) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-best among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 12-59 (.169) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Thunder are 25-41 (.379) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets are 18-70 (.202) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Rockets are 17-80 (.175) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Rockets are 14-52 (.212) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Rockets are 7-75 (.085) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225
Injury Report: Rockets vs. Thunder – Wednesday‘s Game, Feb. 1
- Jalen Green (Rockets): Green is OUT for Wednesday’s (Feb 1) game against Oklahoma City.
- Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. said there’s still no timetable for his return, according to Michael Shapiro of SI.com.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
- Luguentz Dort (Thunder): Dort is OUT for Wednesday’s (Feb 1) game against Houston.
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Thunder): Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said Robinson-Earl is close to returning.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (10,701 points/9,042 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,560 assists/ 2,820 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (1,206/3,646) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (13,985 points/11,665 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,402 assists/ 1,596 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,441 assists/ 989 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,275 assists/ 1,488 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,019 assists/ 740 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (243 blocks/47 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Thunder have 1,000 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have 378 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,000 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,201 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Rockets have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,541 rebounds/46 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Rockets have blocked 486 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Rockets have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,595 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0
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